Winter Weather Forecast

La nina winter weather forecast

Winter Forecast: Generally Warmer Than Average, With the Northwest Exception

Quick Overview

  • This winter is predicted to be warmer than usual for many Americans.
  • This is especially true for the states that stretch from the South to the Mid-Atlantic.
  • The Northwest and some areas of the Northern Plains are probably where the exception is found.
  • A possible La Niña is one reason for this prediction.

 

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With a few exceptions, most of the United States will have milder winter temperatures than typical, according to a forecast issued on Thursday by Atmospheric G2 and The Weather Company.

The big picture: From December 2024 through December 2025, above-average temperatures are predicted from the Southwest to the Southern Plains, eastern Great Lakes, and East Coast.

 

December: 
December may have some colder tricks up its sleeve, even though the forecast below is at least marginally milder than typical for the majority of the nation.

At minimum, a feeble It is anticipated that La Niña, a recurring cooling of the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, would impact the U.S. weather pattern in some way.

Todd Crawford, Vice President of Meteorology at Atmospheric G2, said that during weak or moderate La Niñas, past Decembers tended to lean colder throughout sections of the Midwest and Northeast, not just in the Northwest and Northern Plains.

Thus, as winter approaches, this indicates a colder danger to the forecast below.

 

January: 

There isn’t much change in our outlook for the first month of 2025.

From the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic states to the Rio Grande Valley, a warmer January seems like a good bet.

Once more, the Pacific Northwest to North Dakota and northern Minnesota will have the best chance of experiencing a colder-than-usual month.

However, however does not preclude chilly spells throughout this generally milder month.

As Todd Crawford of AG2 noted, the nation’s record warmest winter in 2023-24 still featured a significant cold outbreak in mid-January. In fact, last January was colder than average from the central and Southern Plains into the Tennessee Valley. 

(192-hours: Upgrade your forecast even further with our in-depth, eight-day forecast that breaks down each hour; this feature is exclusive to our Premium Pro experience.)

February

We may see a sharper east-west or northwest-southeast temperature divide take shape by February.

The Northwest is expected to be cold in February, and other places from the Great Basin to the Northern Plains may also be shivering more than normal during the month. Much of the East is expected to be warmer than usual.

Crawford claims that this overall image is what weak or moderate La Niñas have historically generated in February.

February 2025.

The exception to this mild winter is expected to be in the Northwest – including Washington, Oregon and Idaho – east into parts of the Northern Plains, where winter temperatures may run slightly below average.

Let’s examine each of the next three months in more detail.

 

 

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